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PPP “likely” to win next elections but tighter anti-corruption efforts needed – US expert

 

Research Professor of Latin American Studies at the United States War College Strategic Studies Institute, Dr. Evan Ellis

The United States (US) will have to ensure that the opposition People’s Progressive Party (PPP) sticks to its promises to keep a lid on corruption, with the likelihood of that party winning next year’s general elections, a senior advisor at the US State Department asserts in a recent assessment of the political and security situation.

“At the same time, given concerns regarding corruption in prior PPP administrations, while the US should embrace and work in good faith with a future PPP government, it must do so with its eyes open, holding the PPP to account with respect to its commitments to transparency, democracy, and commitment to free market and the rule of law,” Dr. Robert Evan Ellis states in his contribution titled “Security Challenges in Guyana and the Government Response” in Journal of the Americas, a US Air Force non-peer reviewed publication.

Ellis, who was a research professor of Latin American Studies at the US Army War College, forecasts “the likely return of the PPP to power “at the next general elections, but he did not give any reason for his conclusion. In that regard, he noted that the PPP’s leadership is talking about a new generation of infrastructure and other projects likely to be built by the Chinese and funded by the revenues from oil. Those projects include the Amaila Falls hydroelectric project and an interconnection to the Brazilian power grid, likely to be built by a major Chinese company active in Brazil such as China State Grid, or State Power Industrial Corporation, the construction of a deep water port near Berbice, and an associated road and rail link to Brazil.

The research professor notes that allegations of corruption that had been levelled against the then PPP governments had been compounded by its connections to Venezuela and China. “While the PPP governments which preceded it manifested relatively competent administration and a probusiness orientation, the accusations of corruption, and their level of cooperation with leftist populist regimes such as Venezuela, as well as the PRC, arguably caused discomfort in Washington.”

The State Department advisor, who helps formulate and coordinate foreign policy recommendations on Latin America and the Caribbean for the US Secretary of State, also suggests that Washington will have to find the right balance with China and Russia. Tracing China’s role in providing material assistance and training to the Guyana Defence Force and the Guyana Police Force over the years, Ellis recommended that the US government provide support to Guyana at a reduced cost although the country will under normal circumstances be ineligible due to its expected huge earnings from its oil and gas sector.

“Nonetheless, the US must be prepared to ask for special exceptions to these laws, recognizing that extra-hemispheric competitors to the US, PRC (People’s Republic of China), and Russia are likely to increase their own offering for training and exchange programs for the Guyanese beyond what they currently provide.

“While the US has a compelling case regarding the value of its own programs, and while the Guyanese government must naturally pay a fair share of their cost, the US must offer such programs at a cost and under conditions that make them attractive to the Guyanese government to work with the US and not just PRC as a partner,” said Ellis who has written numerous analyses of the political relations between Guyana and China.

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O rass DJ and Ray going to get Belly Wuk.

America is busy behind the scene assisting GECOM with election preparations. Granger used to stall and sey dat GECOM needs money. GECOM seh, we OK, we aint need no money ! America will light a fire under Granger backside as soon the mechanism is in place for free and fair elections.

Last edited by Former Member
kp posted:

PPP “likely” to win next elections but tighter anti-corruption efforts needed – US expert

 

Research Professor of Latin American Studies at the United States War College Strategic Studies Institute, Dr. Evan Ellis

The United States (US) will have to ensure that the opposition People’s Progressive Party (PPP) sticks to its promises to keep a lid on corruption, with the likelihood of that party winning next year’s general elections, a senior advisor at the US State Department asserts in a recent assessment of the political and security situation.

“At the same time, given concerns regarding corruption in prior PPP administrations, while the US should embrace and work in good faith with a future PPP government, it must do so with its eyes open, holding the PPP to account with respect to its commitments to transparency, democracy, and commitment to free market and the rule of law,” Dr. Robert Evan Ellis states in his contribution titled “Security Challenges in Guyana and the Government Response” in Journal of the Americas, a US Air Force non-peer reviewed publication.

Ellis, who was a research professor of Latin American Studies at the US Army War College, forecasts “the likely return of the PPP to power “at the next general elections, but he did not give any reason for his conclusion. In that regard, he noted that the PPP’s leadership is talking about a new generation of infrastructure and other projects likely to be built by the Chinese and funded by the revenues from oil. Those projects include the Amaila Falls hydroelectric project and an interconnection to the Brazilian power grid, likely to be built by a major Chinese company active in Brazil such as China State Grid, or State Power Industrial Corporation, the construction of a deep water port near Berbice, and an associated road and rail link to Brazil.

The research professor notes that allegations of corruption that had been levelled against the then PPP governments had been compounded by its connections to Venezuela and China. “While the PPP governments which preceded it manifested relatively competent administration and a probusiness orientation, the accusations of corruption, and their level of cooperation with leftist populist regimes such as Venezuela, as well as the PRC, arguably caused discomfort in Washington.”

The State Department advisor, who helps formulate and coordinate foreign policy recommendations on Latin America and the Caribbean for the US Secretary of State, also suggests that Washington will have to find the right balance with China and Russia. Tracing China’s role in providing material assistance and training to the Guyana Defence Force and the Guyana Police Force over the years, Ellis recommended that the US government provide support to Guyana at a reduced cost although the country will under normal circumstances be ineligible due to its expected huge earnings from its oil and gas sector.

“Nonetheless, the US must be prepared to ask for special exceptions to these laws, recognizing that extra-hemispheric competitors to the US, PRC (People’s Republic of China), and Russia are likely to increase their own offering for training and exchange programs for the Guyanese beyond what they currently provide.

“While the US has a compelling case regarding the value of its own programs, and while the Guyanese government must naturally pay a fair share of their cost, the US must offer such programs at a cost and under conditions that make them attractive to the Guyanese government to work with the US and not just PRC as a partner,” said Ellis who has written numerous analyses of the political relations between Guyana and China.

ABSOLUTELY....TOTAL BS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

VishMahabir posted:
kp posted:

PPP “likely” to win next elections but tighter anti-corruption efforts needed – US expert

 

Research Professor of Latin American Studies at the United States War College Strategic Studies Institute, Dr. Evan Ellis

The United States (US) will have to ensure that the opposition People’s Progressive Party (PPP) sticks to its promises to keep a lid on corruption, with the likelihood of that party winning next year’s general elections, a senior advisor at the US State Department asserts in a recent assessment of the political and security situation.

“At the same time, given concerns regarding corruption in prior PPP administrations, while the US should embrace and work in good faith with a future PPP government, it must do so with its eyes open, holding the PPP to account with respect to its commitments to transparency, democracy, and commitment to free market and the rule of law,” Dr. Robert Evan Ellis states in his contribution titled “Security Challenges in Guyana and the Government Response” in Journal of the Americas, a US Air Force non-peer reviewed publication.

Ellis, who was a research professor of Latin American Studies at the US Army War College, forecasts “the likely return of the PPP to power “at the next general elections, but he did not give any reason for his conclusion. In that regard, he noted that the PPP’s leadership is talking about a new generation of infrastructure and other projects likely to be built by the Chinese and funded by the revenues from oil. Those projects include the Amaila Falls hydroelectric project and an interconnection to the Brazilian power grid, likely to be built by a major Chinese company active in Brazil such as China State Grid, or State Power Industrial Corporation, the construction of a deep water port near Berbice, and an associated road and rail link to Brazil.

The research professor notes that allegations of corruption that had been levelled against the then PPP governments had been compounded by its connections to Venezuela and China. “While the PPP governments which preceded it manifested relatively competent administration and a probusiness orientation, the accusations of corruption, and their level of cooperation with leftist populist regimes such as Venezuela, as well as the PRC, arguably caused discomfort in Washington.”

The State Department advisor, who helps formulate and coordinate foreign policy recommendations on Latin America and the Caribbean for the US Secretary of State, also suggests that Washington will have to find the right balance with China and Russia. Tracing China’s role in providing material assistance and training to the Guyana Defence Force and the Guyana Police Force over the years, Ellis recommended that the US government provide support to Guyana at a reduced cost although the country will under normal circumstances be ineligible due to its expected huge earnings from its oil and gas sector.

“Nonetheless, the US must be prepared to ask for special exceptions to these laws, recognizing that extra-hemispheric competitors to the US, PRC (People’s Republic of China), and Russia are likely to increase their own offering for training and exchange programs for the Guyanese beyond what they currently provide.

“While the US has a compelling case regarding the value of its own programs, and while the Guyanese government must naturally pay a fair share of their cost, the US must offer such programs at a cost and under conditions that make them attractive to the Guyanese government to work with the US and not just PRC as a partner,” said Ellis who has written numerous analyses of the political relations between Guyana and China.

ABSOLUTELY....TOTAL BS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Hehehehehe!!!!!!

Another one wid shittins. Mi forget you!!

Nehru posted:

The 40 year College  dunce not only shittin but shittin and eating it!! Talk about being mad and dumb!!!

Yuh talking so much shit bout shit, like yuh had yuh daily dose of croton oil already dis marning, nah bai?

Vish left a long trail of belly wuk after the US admitted A PPP victory and anticipates working with dem Doctors. Trump don’t want another Shyte Hole Venezuela in his backyard. He wants doctors and smart people like he to govern. Four more years for Trump and a cooperative Pro Trump PPP government. 

Screw dem Democrat socialists who overthrew the PPP twice. Dem PPP bais ketch sense now. 

Dem PPP lobbyists hired are really doing their jobs ! Money talks and BS walks as per a former GNI member. 

Dem doctors going to state that de democrats lied ! 

Last edited by Former Member

Security Challenges in Guyana and the Government Response

R. Evan Ellis, PhD  

https://www.airuniversity.af.e...203/05-Ellis_eng.pdf

Here is quote from the article written by Evan Ellis  probably in 2019, I would advise to read the article. before jumping to conclusions ,link provided.

 

With the likely return of the PPP to power in 2019 elections,57 its leadership is talking about a new generation of infrastructure and other projects likely to be built by the Chinese and funded by the revenues from oil, including the resurrec-tion of the Amaila Falls hydroelectric project and an interconnection to the Bra-zilian power grid (likely to be built by a major Chinese company active in Brazil such as China State Grid, or State Power Industrial Corporation), the construc-tion of a deep water port near Berbice, and an associated road and rail link to Brazil.58 It is also possible to anticipate the participation of Chinese oil companies in future oil exploration and development licensing rounds as well as the entry of Chinese petroleum service companies in the support sector, and possibly the ex-pansion of Bosai’s Reunion magnesium mine in the northwest of the country.59While the PPP has also expressed an interest to work closely with the US and Western investors,60 such projects are likely to give the Chinese particular weight in the economic and political dynamics of the country in a future PPP govern-ment (as well as, to a lesser extent, in a APNU one).

 

Last edited by Django
Nehru posted:
Baseman posted:

This article likely gives Ray and Django Nara!

MORE LIKE SHITTINS AKA BELLY WUK. PAMPERS SALE JUST GONE UP !!

Bai, you rass wutliss you know. 😂😂😂😂

Sean posted:

Bai DJ we na care what you post. You is a PNC man regardless of what you seh.

We love we party and want an end to PNC hardship and Shyteholeism. 

As mentioned read the article , it is security challenges in Guyana. The elections mentioned was if was held in 2019. There can be changes.

Please cut the bullcrap about being PNC  man, i am presenting facts .

Sean posted:

You presenting facts ? Bai, we ain’t buying snake oil.

Gwan Suh ! Deal with brain dead Granger and you beloved PNC and their shyteholeism. 

Does whole article looks snake oil.

Have a great day !!!

Last edited by Django
Django posted:
Baseman posted:

This article likely gives Ray and Django Nara!

Oh please !!! read the entire article posted .

I read the whole thing.  You seem to miss the piece where he stated the USG propose special legislation to offer preferential pricing on some deals to compete with the Chinese!

US can also offer some security guarantees as part of a value proposition!

They can also offer Trump enterprises to come build the sea wall!  Trump would like that Wall thingy!  Also a Trump hotel!

Baseman posted:
Django posted:
Baseman posted:

This article likely gives Ray and Django Nara!

Oh please !!! read the entire article posted .

I read the whole thing.

You seem to miss the piece where he stated the USG propose special legislation to offer preferential pricing on some deals to compete with the Chinese!

US can also offer some security guarantees as part of a value proposition!

They can also offer Trump enterprises to come build the sea wall!  Trump would like that Wall thingy!  Also a Trump hotel!

Not really , any way we shall find out.

PPP likely to reclaim power in next elections – State Dept advisor

The People’s Progressive Party (PPP) is likely to return to power in the next general and regional elections. So said a respected American academic, in a paper exploring the dynamics of Guyana’s political system.

Research professor and author, Dr Evan Ellis, PhD

The paper in question is Journals of America, Third Edition, and was written by Dr Evan Ellis, PhD, a research professor and author at the Institute of Strategic Studies of the US Army War College who specialises in China and its engagements with non-Western nations.
According to Dr Ellis, the PPP has been citing a number of plans for new infrastructural development, projects that are likely to be funded from oil revenues. He also noted that Chinese companies are likely to participate in some of these projects.
“With the likely return of the PPP to power in 2019 elections, its leadership is talking about a new generation of infrastructure and other projects likely to be built by the Chinese and funded by the revenues from oil, including the resurrection of the Amaila Falls Hydroelectric Project and an interconnection to the Brazilian power grid,” Dr Ellis said in his journal.
Ellis noted that sharp divisions have arisen leading up to elections, with the PPP heavily critical of the Government’s delay to call elections. He also warned that whatever the outcome, a large section of Guyanese will be dissatisfied, raising the prospect of violence as they lose faith in traditional democratic measures.
“The PPP views the Government’s efforts to delay elections through a combination of legal challenges and obstacles generated by what they view as a purely partisan electoral commission (GECOM) as an attempt to short-circuit the nation’s democratic process and the will of the majority, as they contend the PNC did repeatedly in the past.”
“Moreover, as the conflict escalates, neighbouring Venezuela could take advantage of internal disorder to pursue its territorial claim, as many Guyanese perceive it tried to do in December 2018 with the attempted intercept of the Ramform Tethys.”
He also delved into the area of internal security, noting that the Guyana Police Force (GPF) is undermined by internal corruption and woefully underfunded. Dr Ellis described the minimum pay of a police officer, some $60,000 a month, as “half that of the next worst-paid police department in the Caribbean.”
“As a consequence, the GPF does not attract the most capable members of society to be part of its organisation, and Police personnel are readily tempted to engage in bribe-taking just to survive. GPF members are also frequently poorly equipped, sometimes delaying their responses to serious crimes because of the non-availability of Police cars. A number of GDF facilities are literally falling down from disrepair.”
Dr Ellis acknowledged that Guyana benefits from European Union (EU) funds that go towards improving Police training, equipment, and infrastructure. He cited the Citizen Security Strengthening Programme (CSSP).
“Through CSSP, approximately 20 per cent of Guyanese Police Stations have been refurbished, although the conditions of those that remain is, in some cases, appalling,” Dr Ellis noted in his journal.
Ellis then went on to speak about the Special Organised Crime Unit (SOCU), which he described as controversial. He noted that while SOCU was originally formed to conduct investigations of persons flagged by the Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU), the Unit has been criticised for focusing its investigations almost entirely on senior PPP-affiliated functionaries of the previous Government. He noted that to date, this focus has produced no criminal convictions.
“Those more sympathetic to SOCU would say the focus was driven by the involvement of the members of that Government in corruption, and that the reason for the lack of convictions has been the inability or unwillingness of the Director of Public Prosecution (DPP) chambers to take cases forward.”
“As with the Guyana Defence Force (GDF), the GPF has interactions with the Chinese. Most prominently in November 2017, when the PRC donated US$2.6 million in vehicles and other equipment including 56 pick-up trucks, 44 motorcycles, 35 all-terrain vehicles, and 5 buses, helping the GPF to compensate for its severe shortage of vehicles. Nonetheless, several of these cars have been lost to accidents since their arrival, including one just a day after being donated,” Dr Ellis said.

Ellis then went on to speak about the Special Organised Crime Unit (SOCU), which he described as controversial. He noted that while SOCU was originally formed to conduct investigations of persons flagged by the Financial Intelligence Unit (FIU), the Unit has been criticised for focusing its investigations almost entirely on senior PPP-affiliated functionaries of the previous Government. He noted that to date, this focus has produced no criminal convictions.