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Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) holds a 19-point lead in Nevada, the next state to vote in the 2020 presidential nominating contest, according to a poll released Monday.

Progressive pollster Data for Progress found the democratic socialist with 35 percent support Nevada ahead of its caucus on Saturday. Clumped behind him are Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg and former Vice President Joe Biden, with 16 percent, 15 percent and 14 percent support, respectively.  

Twenty-one percent of respondents back other candidates, including 10 percent for philanthropist Tom Steyer and 9 percent for Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-Minn.).

 

Sanders held an overwhelming advantage among voters under age 45, who backed him at 64 percent, and Hispanic voters, who supported him at 66 percent. No other candidate registered in the double digits for Hispanic support. 

The independent senator also has the highest net favorability rate at 38 percent, with 68 percent having a favorable view of him and 30 percent unfavorable. Warren followed with a 35 percent net favorability rate. 

Sanders won the New Hampshire primary last week and came in a close second to Buttigieg in Iowa the week before.

Nevada will be the most diverse state for the 2020 candidates so far, so a Sanders win would further solidify him as a front-runner. 

The Data for Progress poll surveyed 766 likely caucus goers between Feb. 12 and 15. The margin of error is 3.4 percentage points.

https://thehill.com/homenews/c...-lead-in-nevada-poll

 

MEMO: SANDERS HAS STRONG LEAD IN NEVADA

Authors: Sean McElwee, Executive Director of Data for Progress, Jason Ganz, CTO of Data for Progress, Ryan O’Donnell, Senior Polling Advisor, Data for Progress, Ethan Winter, Senior Adviser

Key Findings:

  • Senator Bernie Sanders has a commanding nineteen point in the Nevada caucus, with 35 percent of likely caucusgoers supporting him. He is followed by Senator Elizabeth Warren, former Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Former Vice President Joe Biden who are all tightly clustered at 16, 15 and 14 percentage points, respectively. 

  • Senator Amy Klobuchar, whose third place finish in the New Hampshire primary garnered considerable media coverage sits in sixth place with 9 percent of likely caucusgoers supporting her. 

  • Sanders performs extremely well with Hispanic likely caucusgoers, registering 66 percent support, with no other candidate cracking double digits. He continues to see strong support among younger voters, with likely caucusgoers under 45 supporting him at 64 percent. Of those who have made up their mind, Sanders registers 47 percent support. 

  • Democratic voters strongly support both Medicare for All (69 percent in support, 23 percent opposed) and a Green New Deal (93 percent in support, 6 percent opposed).

Data for Progress conducted a poll of 766 likely Nevada caucusgoers from 2/12/2020 through 2/15/2020. Likely caucusgoers were identified from the Nevada voter file and weighted to a likely electorate. Our margin of error is +/- 3.4 percent.  

After coming away with the most votes in each of the two first contests of the Democratic primary, Bernie Sanders is going into the Nevada caucus in a strong position. He may leave in a dominant position. With a nearly 20 point lead over his next most supported opponent, Senator Sanders is in a strong position to solidify his frontrunner status with his showing in Nevada. From there we will see the strength of Joe Biden’s β€œfirewall” in South Carolina (2/29), followed shortly by Super Tuesday (3/2). It should be noted however that Nevada is a notoriously hard state to poll and that there is enough time between now and the caucus for things to change. 

Bernie’s base of support is found both among voters under 45 and Hispanic voters. Among voters under 45, he holds a 50 point lead over Warren who sits in second place with 14 percent. Meanwhile, 66 percent of Hispanic likely caucusgoers back Sanders, with the rest of the field accounting for the remaining 34 percentage points. 

 
 

Sanders enjoys the majority backing (54 percentage points) of self-described β€œvery liberal” likely caucusgoers and holds a plurality lead (31 percentage points) among self-described β€œsomewhat liberal voters.” 

On net, Sanders leads the field with a 38 percentage point favorability rating (68 percent favorable, 30 percent unfavorable). Warren is in second a 35 point net favorability. Steyer sits in third place with a 31 percentage point favorable rating (59 percent favorable, 28 percent unfavorable). He is followed by Klobuchar at 28 percent (55 percent favorable, 27 percent unfavorable) and Buttigieg at 19 percent (54 percent favorable, 35 percent unfavorable). Biden, Bloomberg, and Gabbard are all underwater at -2 percentage points, -16 percentage points, -38 percentage points, respectively. 

 
image2.png
 

Nevada will be the most diverse to go to the polls so far during this primary. If Sanders walks away with a win, it will be in large part because of his sizable levels of support among Hispanic voters. 

A Green New Deal enjoys overwhelming support among Nevada Democratic likely caucusgoers. The massive investment in clean-energy jobs and infrastructure enjoys an 87 percentage point margin of support (93 percent support, 6 percent oppose). 

Medicare for All is strongly supported by Nevada likely caucusgoers, with 69 percent in support and 23 opposed.

 
image3.png
 

Conclusion

A strong Sanders showing in Nevada will cement his status as the primary’s current frontrunner. Meanwhile, Nevada could be the third disappointing showing for Biden in as many contests. He will then lead what can only be described as a lethargic campaign into South Carolina at the end of this month, a state where he’s set up to perform better but is by no means assured victory.

Ray posted:

I would prefer Bloomberg over Sanders...Sanders is not even a Democrat...plus his supporters are not loyal to the Democratic party

I have always said that Sanders is not a democrat. Why is he vying for the presidential candidate using the democratic party? He is an angry old man as shown by his attitude in 2016. A poor selfish loser.

For some of you, let it be known there is only one Obama. If the candidates of colour can't get the votes, then how are they going to make it at the general election. To defeat Trump the democrats need a Unique candidate, someone that can get out the votes, someone that can AFFORD to WIN.

 Right now there are Saunders, Bloomberg and Biden are in the top three. Saunders cannot beat Trump, his socialist ideas would scare the voters, if only that Biden can raise the money he will be the favorite and can beat Trump. Well for Bloomberg, he has the money and he is prepared to spend ONE Billion Dollars of his own money to defeat Trump. I feel it is all in the hands of Joe Biden, must win in Navada and North Carolina if not it's over.

kp posted:

For some of you, let it be known there is only one Obama. If the candidates of colour can't get the votes, then how are they going to make it at the general election. To defeat Trump the democrats need a Unique candidate, someone that can get out the votes, someone that can AFFORD to WIN.

 Right now there are Saunders, Bloomberg and Biden are in the top three. Saunders cannot beat Trump, his socialist ideas would scare the voters, if only that Biden can raise the money he will be the favorite and can beat Trump. Well for Bloomberg, he has the money and he is prepared to spend ONE Billion Dollars of his own money to defeat Trump. I feel it is all in the hands of Joe Biden, must win in Navada and North Carolina if not it's over.

Democrats need the Latino and the African American votes. I hope they can go out and vote this year and not just sit there watching TV. With Trump on an evil journey, he needs to be stopped. He, Stephen Miller, Bar, and Pompeo will make this country a whites-only country and take away everyone's rights. He wants to be a dictator who is in to profit for himself and family.

Abu Jihad posted:

The DNC allowed its debate rules to eliminate candidates of color but changed them for a white billionaire who still supports the Iraq war, presided over racist police policies, spied on Muslims, and was a lifelong Republican with the record to prove it.

That is not the mistake. It is allowing 99 percent white states to be the winnowing machine for acceptable candidates. of the remaining; candidates, I would trust the women more than the men and warren most of all since she is a thinker. planner and listener. Wherever she has it wrong is subject to chance. She is also the smartest of the lot. Chances are we will end up with another billionaire and definitely another old out of touch white man.  

skeldon_man posted:
kp posted:

For some of you, let it be known there is only one Obama. If the candidates of colour can't get the votes, then how are they going to make it at the general election. To defeat Trump the democrats need a Unique candidate, someone that can get out the votes, someone that can AFFORD to WIN.

 Right now there are Saunders, Bloomberg and Biden are in the top three. Saunders cannot beat Trump, his socialist ideas would scare the voters, if only that Biden can raise the money he will be the favorite and can beat Trump. Well for Bloomberg, he has the money and he is prepared to spend ONE Billion Dollars of his own money to defeat Trump. I feel it is all in the hands of Joe Biden, must win in Navada and North Carolina if not it's over.

Democrats need the Latino and the African American votes. I hope they can go out and vote this year and not just sit there watching TV. With Trump on an evil journey, he needs to be stopped. He, Stephen Miller, Bar, and Pompeo will make this country a whites-only country and take away everyone's rights. He wants to be a dictator who is in to profit for himself and family.

They are going to get both of those by default. The problem is what volume will be inspired by the selected candidate to turn out The margins are slim and the republicans can only win with low turnout or by voter suppression tactics. 

skeldon_man posted:
kp posted:

For some of you, let it be known there is only one Obama. If the candidates of colour can't get the votes, then how are they going to make it at the general election. To defeat Trump the democrats need a Unique candidate, someone that can get out the votes, someone that can AFFORD to WIN.

 Right now there are Saunders, Bloomberg and Biden are in the top three. Saunders cannot beat Trump, his socialist ideas would scare the voters, if only that Biden can raise the money he will be the favorite and can beat Trump. Well for Bloomberg, he has the money and he is prepared to spend ONE Billion Dollars of his own money to defeat Trump. I feel it is all in the hands of Joe Biden, must win in Navada and North Carolina if not it's over.

Democrats need the Latino and the African American votes. I hope they can go out and vote this year and not just sit there watching TV. With Trump on an evil journey, he needs to be stopped. He, Stephen Miller, Bar, and Pompeo will make this country a whites-only country and take away everyone's rights. He wants to be a dictator who is in to profit for himself and family.

That's why I feel Bloomberg will be the right person to cut him down, Bloomberg knows Trump inside out, Trump always wants to be like Bloomberg, naming his company after his name. 

 To get to the top ,sometimes you may hurt some, but look at the greater GOOD. The stop and frisk proved to be a success, crime came down and lots of the Bad Guys are in prison. The Blacks and coloured races may not be happy, but the community became safer. 

 One must ask the question WHY, although the Blacks and coloured are the minority ,yet they are the Majority in Jail, in America, Canada.???

D2 posted:
Abu Jihad posted:

The DNC allowed its debate rules to eliminate candidates of color but changed them for a white billionaire who still supports the Iraq war, presided over racist police policies, spied on Muslims, and was a lifelong Republican with the record to prove it.

That is not the mistake. It is allowing 99 percent white states to be the winnowing machine for acceptable candidates. of the remaining; candidates, I would trust the women more than the men and warren most of all since she is a thinker. planner and listener. Wherever she has it wrong is subject to chance. She is also the smartest of the lot. Chances are we will end up with another billionaire and definitely another old out of touch white man.  

Do not disagree, but the DNC must take fault for welcoming him with open arms.

kp posted:
skeldon_man posted:
kp posted:

For some of you, let it be known there is only one Obama. If the candidates of colour can't get the votes, then how are they going to make it at the general election. To defeat Trump the democrats need a Unique candidate, someone that can get out the votes, someone that can AFFORD to WIN.

 Right now there are Saunders, Bloomberg and Biden are in the top three. Saunders cannot beat Trump, his socialist ideas would scare the voters, if only that Biden can raise the money he will be the favorite and can beat Trump. Well for Bloomberg, he has the money and he is prepared to spend ONE Billion Dollars of his own money to defeat Trump. I feel it is all in the hands of Joe Biden, must win in Navada and North Carolina if not it's over.

Democrats need the Latino and the African American votes. I hope they can go out and vote this year and not just sit there watching TV. With Trump on an evil journey, he needs to be stopped. He, Stephen Miller, Bar, and Pompeo will make this country a whites-only country and take away everyone's rights. He wants to be a dictator who is in to profit for himself and family.

That's why I feel Bloomberg will be the right person to cut him down, Bloomberg knows Trump inside out, Trump always wants to be like Bloomberg, naming his company after his name. 

 To get to the top ,sometimes you may hurt some, but look at the greater GOOD. The stop and frisk proved to be a success, crime came down and lots of the Bad Guys are in prison. The Blacks and coloured races may not be happy, but the community became safer. 

 One must ask the question WHY, although the Blacks and coloured are the minority ,yet they are the Majority in Jail, in America, Canada.???

You are asking why more brown and black people end up in jail and saying stop and frisk make the community safer so you gotta be confused as hell. 

D2 posted:
kp posted:
skeldon_man posted:
kp posted:

For some of you, let it be known there is only one Obama. If the candidates of colour can't get the votes, then how are they going to make it at the general election. To defeat Trump the democrats need a Unique candidate, someone that can get out the votes, someone that can AFFORD to WIN.

 Right now there are Saunders, Bloomberg and Biden are in the top three. Saunders cannot beat Trump, his socialist ideas would scare the voters, if only that Biden can raise the money he will be the favorite and can beat Trump. Well for Bloomberg, he has the money and he is prepared to spend ONE Billion Dollars of his own money to defeat Trump. I feel it is all in the hands of Joe Biden, must win in Navada and North Carolina if not it's over.

Democrats need the Latino and the African American votes. I hope they can go out and vote this year and not just sit there watching TV. With Trump on an evil journey, he needs to be stopped. He, Stephen Miller, Bar, and Pompeo will make this country a whites-only country and take away everyone's rights. He wants to be a dictator who is in to profit for himself and family.

That's why I feel Bloomberg will be the right person to cut him down, Bloomberg knows Trump inside out, Trump always wants to be like Bloomberg, naming his company after his name. 

 To get to the top ,sometimes you may hurt some, but look at the greater GOOD. The stop and frisk proved to be a success, crime came down and lots of the Bad Guys are in prison. The Blacks and coloured races may not be happy, but the community became safer. 

 One must ask the question WHY, although the Blacks and coloured are the minority ,yet they are the Majority in Jail, in America, Canada.???

You are asking why more brown and black people end up in jail and saying stop and frisk make the community safer so you gotta be confused as hell. 

Stop and Frisk caught the armed criminals.

Abu Jihad posted:
ksazma posted:

Bloomberg will also get support from moderate Republicans so he may end up being the best choice for the Democrats. Maybe that is why FoxNews is scared of him.

You are saying there are no democrats to beat Trump, and you need a more radical republican.

 

Bloomberg isn’t radical bai. He is very balanced.