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NY poll: Hillary Clinton surges to 30-point lead over Donald Trump

By Mark Weiner | mweiner@syracuse.com , on August 15, 2016 at 5:30 AM, updated August 15, 2016 at 12:36 PM, http://www.syracuse.com/politi...er_donald_trump.html

Clinton Trump mashup.JPGDemocrat Hillary Clinton has opened a 30-point lead over Republican Donald Trump in New York state, according to a new Siena College poll on Monday, Aug. 15, 2016. It is the first Siena College poll of New Yorkers since the Democratic and Republican national conventions last month. (AP photos)

WASHINGTON, D.C. -- Hillary Clinton has widened her lead to 30 points over Donald Trump among New York voters, dominating a state Trump has vowed to make competitive in the 2016 presidential race, according to a new poll published Monday.

It was the first Siena College poll in New York since the Republican and Democratic national conventions last month, and mirrors a trend showing gains by Clinton in national polls over the past two weeks.

Clinton has surged in the Empire State since a Siena College poll in June showed she had a 23-point lead over Trump, 54-31 percent.

Clinton, the former two-term New York senator, now leads Trump in his home state by 57-27 percent in the new poll.

The poll of 717 registered voters in New York took place Aug. 7 through Wednesday, and was conducted by telephone calls to land lines and cell phones. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 4.3 percentage points.

Clinton opened up her lead with overwhelming support in the Democratic stronghold of New York City (70-15 percent) and a comfortable margin in Upstate New York (48 percent to 37 percent), the poll found.

Clinton also has a commanding lead over Trump (50-25 percent) when voters are asked about a potential four-way race that includes Libertarian Gary Johnson (9 percent) and Green Party nominee Jill Stein (6 percent).

"Despite Trump's claims to carry New York, the Empire State seems firmly planted on the blue side of the map," Siena College pollster Steven Greenberg said in a statement.

He noted that New Yorkers voted Democratic in the last seven presidential elections, and said "there does not appear to be a real threat to end that streak."

Trump has said that his path to the White House will include a huge victory in New York because he's wildly popular with Upstate residents.

"Upstate New York, I'm like the most popular person that has ever lived, virtually," Trump told CNN in February. "They're great friends of mine."

The same month, Trump cited the results of a non-scientific Syracuse.com poll after a Republican debate as one indication of his popularity in Upstate New York.

Donald Trump: Upstate New York is like a ghost town

Donald Trump: Upstate New York is like a ghost town

In Iowa speech, Trump says NAFTA and other free trade agreements have ruined the region's economy.

The new Siena poll found New Yorkers believe by a 40-point margin that Clinton is more qualified than Trump to be commander in chief, and would be more effective at working with Congress (a 32-point margin).

New York voters were almost evenly split on the question of making America great again. About 49 percent said America is great now, while 44 percent say it's time to make America great again.

When asked about six issues in the campaign, voters strongly favored Clinton over Trump on improving health care, immigration policy, keeping America safe from terrorism, creating jobs, addressing global trade, and addressing tensions between police and communities of color.

Barack Obama campaigns for Hillary Clinton during vacation

Hillary Clinton is gaining ground in the polls in key states against Donald Trump. Aarti Pole reports.

EDGARTOWN, Mass. – Golf, afternoons at the beach and … political campaigning?

President Barack Obama is interrupting what so far has been a leisurely vacation to help raise money for Hillary Clinton, the Democratic presidential nominee. Obama has said there’s never been anyone more qualified than Clinton, who was his rival in the 2008 presidential contest and his first-term secretary of state, to be president.

Obama is slated to headline a Democratic Party fundraising dinner Monday evening on Martha’s Vineyard, the island playground off the coast of Massachusetts where he’s in the midst of a two-week vacation with his wife, Michelle, and their daughters Malia and Sasha.

Democrats Hank Goldberg and his wife, Carol Brown Goldberg, are hosting the event at their home in Chilmark, the same town where the president is renting a vacation home.

Obama will deliver remarks, but the news media will not be permitted to hear his answers to questions asked by some of the approximately 60 donors who are expected to attend. Tickets cost up to $33,400, party officials said, with the proceeds benefiting Clinton’s campaign, the Democratic National Committee and state parties across the country.

The White House said Obama is eager to hit the campaign trail and be as helpful as possible to fellow Democrats. After the scheduling worked out, he agreed to interrupt his golf, beach and dinner outings to appear at the fundraiser and give Clinton a boost.

Obama recently said Clinton’s opponent, Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump, is β€œunfit to serve,” his most biting denunciation yet of the New York businessman.

Obama is expected to campaign aggressively for Clinton in the fall run-up to the Nov. 8 elections. He endorsed her right after the primaries and caucuses ended in June. At their first joint campaign appearance in Charlotte, North Carolina, in July, Obama said no one more qualified than Clinton has ever sought to become president.

He repeated the assertion at the Democratic National Convention late last month, saying β€œthere has never been a man or a woman β€” not me, not Bill (Clinton), nobody β€” more qualified than Hillary Clinton to serve as president of the United States of America.”

Clinton is not expected to appear with Obama on Monday. She’ll be making her first campaign appearance with Vice-President Joe Biden in his hometown of Scranton, Pennsylvania.

Obama arrived Aug. 6 on the Massachusetts island where he has vacationed during all but one of his eight summers as president. So far, he has indulged in six rounds of golf, five dinner outings, two afternoons at the beach and a couple of trail walks.

The president is scheduled to return to the White House on Sunday.

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