With 389 boxes counted already, APNU/AFC is leading the PPP/C by 29,571 votes. There are 490 boxes left to be counted. According to the law of averages, APNU/AFC will double that amount. I could be wrong but who knows what will happen.
And this is separate from a Region 10 win for APNU/AFC.
PPP/C will win Regions 6 and 9, but it doesn't look like it will help them pull out. Even with an additional 20,000 votes for PPP/C in Region 6, it will be nullified by APNU's hold in Region 10.
Win still comes down to the ever delicate Region 4.