New Cases Drop in China as Virus Spreads Globally

With pace of new cases slowing, several Chinese provinces lower their health-alert levels

Why China’s Official Coronavirus Numbers May Not Tell the Whole Picture
 
Why China’s Official Coronavirus Numbers May Not Tell the Whole Picture
Why China’s Official Coronavirus Numbers May Not Tell the Whole Picture
As the number of coronavirus cases rises, epidemiologists around the world look at maps, flight bookings and population data to estimate the size of the outbreak—and explain why their results are higher than China’s official tally. Photo: Getty Images
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BEIJING—The number of new coronavirus cases in China dropped dramatically in recent days outside the province at the center of the epidemic, but health authorities raised alarms about sharp increases in infections elsewhere in the world.

Last edited by Former Member
Sean posted:
 

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You are a jackass. What about the above statistic that negates the danger  here? This has a potential to kill ten times that and cripple the workforce since it's transmission vector seems to deliver the virus rapidly.  Just look to t he devastation in China where the workforce is being crippled with the infection and actions to control it. 

Utter BS. This is the fear that is being peddled by the fake news media, you are just prattling BS.

CDC made no pronouncement of such a devastation in the US. The Chinese President confirmed that new cases are declining. 

Stop being a jackass, you are no CDC.

Man yuh rally fackin dumb..yuh have to capy an pos de same timg pon every tred..

And please dont one millian odda replies in yuh response..skant man

Sean posted:
D2 posted:
Sean posted:
Billy Ram Balgobin posted:
Sean posted:

It will backfire on them. Playing politics with trillions will come back to haunt the dems. The pro dem media is spreading fear in an effort to harm Trump.

I don't see anyone of the candidates from the Democratic party beating Trump.  Bernie will lose Florida. Riviera RedNecks and anti-Castro Cubans will crush him.

They can't beat Trump so they take the most destructive path and I can't believe my eyes with the amount of misinformation and fear about Coronavirus by the democrats.

The flu kills 29,000 up to 60,000 in some years according to the CDC. People should take the flu shot as opposed to buying into fears about Coronavirus. 

You are a jackass. What about the above statistic that negates the danger  here? This has a potential to kill ten times that and cripple the workforce since it's transmission vector seems to deliver the virus rapidly.  Just look to t he devastation in China where the workforce is being crippled with the infection and actions to control it. 

Utter BS. This is the fear that is being peddled by the fake news media, you are just prattling BS.

CDC made no pronouncement of such a devastation in the US. The Chinese President confirmed that new cases are declining. 

Stop being a jackass, you are no CDC.

The CDC said there is a potential for pandemic and that the spread is inevitable so precautions of an extreme sort is necessary. Add to t hat Trump is so scared of what these people may say he has them muzzled and let Pence, a fanatic who let HIV spread in his district, be in charge. That shows gross incompetence in the administration. Health professionals should be advising us so the sense of panic is not inevitable. With Pence t here I will panic.

In science there is something called the precautionary principle. Is states when the factors of a potential dangers are not fully known, take the extreme preventative steps. This virus is not known very well but it is infectious and deadly. If allowed to proliferate it to pandemic stage it will be devastating. The size of the outbreak matters as much as its mortality rate ( which is estimated to this point). I am not the CDC but i live in the community of NIH researchers and they are worried. I am also not a highschool drop out but a trained scientist.

Last edited by Former Member

Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Situation Summary

This is an emerging, rapidly evolving situation and CDC will provide updated information as it becomes available, in addition to updated guidance.

Updated February 27, 2020

Background

CDC is responding to an outbreak of respiratory disease caused by a novel (new) coronavirus that was first detected in Wuhan City, Hubei Province, China and which has now been detected in 50 locations internationally, including cases in the United States. The virus has been named “SARS-CoV-2” and the disease it causes has been named “coronavirus disease 2019” (abbreviated “COVID-19”).

On January 30, 2020, the International Health Regulations Emergency Committee of the World Health Organization declared the outbreak a “public health emergency of international concernexternal icon” (PHEIC). On January 31, 2020, Health and Human Services Secretary Alex M. Azar II declared a public health emergency (PHE) for the United States to aid the nation’s healthcare community in responding to COVID-19.

Source and Spread of the Virus

Coronaviruses are a large family of viruses that are common in many different species of animals, including camels, cattle, cats, and bats. Rarely, animal coronaviruses can infect people and then spread between people such as with MERS-CoV, SARS-CoV, and now with this new virus (named SARS-CoV-2).

The SARS-CoV-2 virus is a betacoronavirus, like MERS-CoV and SARS-CoV.  All three of these viruses have their origins in bats. The sequences from U.S. patients are similar to the one that China initially posted, suggesting a likely single, recent emergence of this virus from an animal reservoir.

Early on, many of the patients in the COVID-19 outbreak in Wuhan, China had some link to a large seafood and live animal market, suggesting animal-to-person spread. Later, a growing number of patients reportedly did not have exposure to animal markets, indicating person-to-person spread. Person-to-person spread has been reported outside China, including in the United States and other locations. Chinese officials report that sustained person-to-person spread in the community is occurring in China. In addition, other destinations have apparent community spread, meaning some people have been infected who are not sure how or where they became infected. Learn what is known about the spread of newly emerged coronaviruses.

Situation in U.S.

Imported cases of COVID-19 in travelers have been detected in the U.S. Person-to-person spread of COVID-19 also has been reported among close contacts of returned travelers from Wuhan. On February 25, CDC confirmed COVID-19 in a person who reportedly did not have relevant travel history or exposure to another known patient with COVID-19 (unknown exposure).At this time, this virus is NOT currently spreading in the community in the United States.

Illness Severity

Both MERS-CoV and SARS-CoV have been known to cause severe illness in people. The complete clinical picture with regard to COVID-19 is not fully understood. Reported illnesses have ranged from mild to severe, including illness resulting in death. Learn more about the symptoms associated with COVID-19.

There are ongoing investigations to learn more. This is a rapidly evolving situation and information will be updated as it becomes available.

Risk Assessment

Outbreaks of novel virus infections among people are always of public health concern. The risk from these outbreaks depends on characteristics of the virus, including how well it spreads between people, the severity of resulting illness, and the medical or other measures available to control the impact of the virus (for example, vaccine or treatment medications). The fact that this disease has caused illness, including illness resulting in death, and sustained person-to-person spread is concerning. These factors meet two of the criteria of a pandemic. As community spread is detected in more and more countries, the world moves closer toward meeting the third criteria, worldwide spread of the new virus.

The potential public health threat posed by COVID-19 is high, both globally and to the United States.

But individual risk is dependent on exposure.

  • For the general American public, who are unlikely to be exposed to this virus at this time, the immediate health risk from COVID-19 is considered low.
  • Under current circumstances, certain people will have an increased risk of infection, for example healthcare workers caring for patients with COVID-19 and other close contacts of persons with COVID-19. CDC has developed guidance to help in the risk assessment and management of people with potential exposures to COVID-19.

However, it’s important to note that current global circumstances suggest it is likely that this virus will cause a pandemic. In that case, the risk assessment would be different.

What May Happen

More cases are likely to be identified in the coming days, including more cases in the United States. It’s also likely that person-to-person spread will continue to occur, including in the United States. Widespread transmission of COVID-19 in the United States would translate into large numbers of people needing medical care at the same time. Schools, childcare centers, workplaces, and other places for mass gatherings may experience more absenteeism. Public health and healthcare systems may become overloaded, with elevated rates of hospitalizations and deaths. Other critical infrastructure, such as law enforcement, emergency medical services, and transportation industry may also be affected. Health care providers and hospitals may be overwhelmed. At this time, there is no vaccine to protect against COVID-19 and no medications approved to treat it. Nonpharmaceutical interventions would be the most important response strategy.

CDC Response

Global efforts at this time are focused concurrently on containing spread of this virus and mitigating the impact of this virus. The federal government is working closely with state, local, tribal, and territorial partners, as well as public health partners, to respond to this public health threat. The public health response is multi-layered, with the goal of detecting and minimizing introductions of this virus in the United States so as to reduce the spread and the impact of this virus. CDC is operationalizing all of its pandemic preparedness and response plans, working on multiple fronts to meet these goals, including specific measures to prepare communities to respond local transmission of the virus that causes COVID-19. There is an abundance of pandemic guidance developed in anticipation of an influenza pandemic that is being repurposed and adapted for a COVID-19 pandemic.

Highlights of CDC’s Response

This is a picture of CDC’s laboratory test kit for the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 [SARS-CoV-2). CDC is shipping the test kits to laboratories CDC has designated as qualified, including U.S. state and local public health laboratories, Department of Defense (DOD) laboratories and select international laboratories. The test kits are bolstering global laboratory capacity for detecting SARS-CoV-2.

This is a picture of CDC’s laboratory test kit for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). CDC is shipping the test kits to laboratories CDC has designated as qualified, including U.S. state and local public health laboratories, Department of Defense (DOD) laboratories and select international laboratories. The test kits are bolstering global laboratory capacity for detecting SARS-CoV-2.

 

  • CDC laboratories have supported the COVID-19 response, including:
    • CDC has developed a real time Reverse Transcription-Polymerase Chain Reaction (rRT-PCR) test that can diagnose COVID-19 in respiratory samples from clinical specimens. On January 24, CDC publicly posted the assay protocol for this test.
    • On February 26, CDC and FDA developed a protocol that uses two of the three components of the original CDC test kit to detect the virus that causes COVID-19. This will allow at least 40 public health laboratories to be able to begin testing.
    • CDC has been uploading the entire genome of the viruses from reported cases in the United States to GenBank as sequencing was completed.
    • CDC has grown the COVID-19 virus in cell culture, which is necessary for further studies, including for additional genetic characterization. The cell-grown virus was sent to NIH’s BEI Resources Repositoryexternal icon for use by the broad scientific community.

CDC Recommends

  • While the immediate risk of this new virus to the American public is believed to be low at this time, everyone can do their part to help us respond to this emerging public health threat:
    • It’s currently flu and respiratory disease season and CDC recommends getting a flu vaccine, taking everyday preventive actions to help stop the spread of germs, and taking flu antivirals if prescribed.
    • If you are a healthcare provider, be on the look-out for people who recently traveled from China and have fever and respiratory symptoms.
    • If you are a healthcare provider caring for a COVID-19 patient or a public health responder, please take care of yourself and follow recommended infection control procedures.
    • If you have been in China or have been exposed to someone sick with COVID-19 in the last 14 days, you will face some limitations on your movement and activity. Please follow instructions during this time. Your cooperation is integral to the ongoing public health response to try to slow spread of this virus. If you develop COVID-19 symptoms, contact your healthcare provider, and tell them about your symptoms and your travel or exposure to a COVID-19 patient.
    • For people who are ill with COVID-19, please follow CDC guidance on how to reduce the risk of spreading your illness to others.

Other Available Resources

The following resources are available with information on COVID-19

 

Billy Ram Balgobin posted:

I have my bottle of sanitizer everywhere I go.  Don't leave home without it.

I have cancelled travels. My wife has one commitment in Puerto Rico next week she cannot get out of since it involves children. I am not allowing her to travel after that. She had London, Greece and South Africa on her agenda this year. My kids are in Europe and my sister has transitioned there with my mom. I wanted to take a trip. I am staying home until I know this thing is under control.

Billy Ram Balgobin posted:

I have my bottle of sanitizer everywhere I go.  Don't leave home without it.

Bai, Basic Hygiene can stop the spread of virus, it's all common sense. Wash your hands, cover your mouth when you sneeze, stay home if you're sick. 

The common cold will kill up to 69,000 people annually in the USA alone.

Sean posted:
Billy Ram Balgobin posted:

I have my bottle of sanitizer everywhere I go.  Don't leave home without it.

Bai, Basic Hygiene can stop the spread of virus, it's all common sense. Wash your hands, cover your mouth when you sneeze, stay home if you're sick. 

The common cold will kill up to 69,000 people annually in the USA alone.

I do all of that in addition to using a sanitizer. 

rSean posted:
Billy Ram Balgobin posted:

I have my bottle of sanitizer everywhere I go.  Don't leave home without it.

Bai, Basic Hygiene can stop the spread of virus, it's all common sense. Wash your hands, cover your mouth when you sneeze, stay home if you're sick. 

The common cold will kill up to 69,000 people annually in the USA alone.

If basic hygiene was sufficient why has China banned wild meat, and closed down factories and quarantined entire cities? Italy quarantined two districts including Lombardy. Japan closed schools etc Send a message to these prime ministers advising them they are dealing with something akin to a cold so should not panic!

Sean posted:
D2 posted:

Why post that entire Doc and not a summary and a link? As I said...big dunce. 

Dummy you are no CDC, stop spreading fear and BS. It's for people to read what the CDS reports for themselves. 

Stop the fear, stop the BS.

And you are a high school drop out!
The CDC is clear in about the danger that they requested 3.5 billion dollars. Note Trump fired its pandemic expert awhile back and siphoned cash from it to build his wall. So much for geniuses.

kp posted:
Sean posted:
D2 posted:

Why post that entire Doc and not a summary and a link? As I said...big dunce. 

Dummy you are no CDC, stop spreading fear and BS. It's for people to read what the CDS reports for themselves. 

Stop the fear, stop the BS.

Who and what is this CDC.

It is the US principal Institution for disease control, ( center for Disease control). It employs the most scientists in the biological science and has operations the world over studying diseases and their transmission. Trump attempted to crippled it on coming in office. Lenora who posts here work for one of their grant offices in NIH.

D2 posted:
kp posted:
Sean posted:
D2 posted:

Why post that entire Doc and not a summary and a link? As I said...big dunce. 

Dummy you are no CDC, stop spreading fear and BS. It's for people to read what the CDS reports for themselves. 

Stop the fear, stop the BS.

Who and what is this CDC.

It is the US principal Institution for disease control, ( center for Disease control). It employs the most scientists in the biological science and has operations the world over studying diseases and their transmission. Trump attempted to crippled it on coming in office. Lenora who posts here work for one of their grant offices in NIH.

I don't think Sean knows.

D2 posted:
Baseman posted:

The best snap-back stock will be Microsoft.

They say they are having supply problems not to be remedied until china is back on its feet. It is not easy to revamp supply chains. Apple is in bigger trouble in the next quarter. 

I agree, I was referring to when the whole halabaloo blow over.  Microsoft is not so much a supply chain issue.

This entire affair is a last ditch effort by the Democrats and Chinese to depose Trump. The Feds are part of the Deep State and not intervening to stabilize the markets. 

Bai, I’m the one who stopped the lies being spread by quoting and posting accurate info from CDC. 
The rest of GNI bottom house crew were quoting the fake news media. 
Big difference. 

Using this virus to criticize Trump further exposes the desperation by the fakes news and socialist democrats.

Anyway, Team Trump Pence have this fully under control overseeing the efforts of the CDC. 

Have no fear, Team Trump and Pence are there. The only fear in America today are fear of socialism and democrats. 

Last edited by Former Member
Sean posted:

Bai, I’m the one who stopped the lies being spread by quoting and posting accurate info for CDC. 
The rest of GNI bottom house crew were quoting the fake news media. 
Big difference. 

Using this virus to criticize Trump further exposes the desperation by the fakes news and socialist democrats.

Anyway, Team Trump Pence have this fully under control overseeing the efforts of the CDC. 

Man you and you f'ing Trump, FOX news and a whole bunch of conspiracy theorists are f'ing up your brain and making you start thinking like them West Virginia inbred rednecks.

Baseman posted:
D2 posted:
Baseman posted:

The best snap-back stock will be Microsoft.

They say they are having supply problems not to be remedied until china is back on its feet. It is not easy to revamp supply chains. Apple is in bigger trouble in the next quarter. 

I agree, I was referring to when the whole halabaloo blow over.  Microsoft is not so much a supply chain issue.

This entire affair is a last ditch effort by the Democrats and Chinese to depose Trump. The Feds are part of the Deep State and not intervening to stabilize the markets. 

WHAT A BIG LOAD OF BULLSHIT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Nehru posted:

i AM IN THE STOCK MARKEY FOR 25 YEARS BUT NOT DIRECTLY BUT THROUGH MY PENSION FUND. However, it affects how much I can receive at retirement.

Arite.I was refering to the DIYers