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The election is too close to call. PPP obtained its smallest Kitty crowd since 1992. Alliance could have done better in Whim. I think massive improvements in registration will skew slightly in favor of opposition. Some rural Indians who went for AFC in 2011 are going back to PPP some and larger percentage are staying home. The most explicitly racist campaign by PPP since 1992 is having an effect on these simple people. Opposition not countering very well, they have to stop ignoring it and respond. But the heightened apan jaat would turn off about 10% of the mixed voters who vote PPP. They may also turn off about 30% of blacks who vote PPP (PPP gets about 4 to 5% of its votes from blacks). The de facto Presidential candidate, Jagdeo, is a big boon for opposition. Alliance will pick up some new Indian votes in Region 4. Opposition needs a better campaign like sharing out short messages of the 29 tons of goods from the jailbird. The US$6 mill house, the Maurice Arjoon incident, etc.

FM
Originally Posted by TK:

The election is too close to call. PPP obtained its smallest Kitty crowd since 1992. Alliance could have done better in Whim. I think massive improvements in registration will skew slightly in favor of opposition. Some rural Indians who went for AFC in 2011 are going back to PPP some and larger percentage are staying home. The most explicitly racist campaign by PPP since 1992 is having an effect on these simple people. Opposition not countering very well, they have to stop ignoring it and respond. But the heightened apan jaat would turn off about 10% of the mixed voters who vote PPP. They may also turn off about 30% of blacks who vote PPP (PPP gets about 4 to 5% of its votes from blacks). The de facto Presidential candidate, Jagdeo, is a big boon for opposition. Alliance will pick up some new Indian votes in Region 4. Opposition needs a better campaign like sharing out short messages of the 29 tons of goods from the jailbird. The US$6 mill house, the Maurice Arjoon incident, etc.

Time for you to switch back to the PPP  TK? Wah u think?

FM

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