TK posted:

 Ditto Samsung, Daewoo and many others.

The name LG worth mentioning,it's the biggest rival to Samsung.

I have contracts with both to service their Electronics products.

Perhaps since 2015, the decision on Amaila Hydropower development was previously made and it was a matter time to locate the information to support the preconceived views.

==============================

The Guyana government has abandoned plans to develop the 165-MW Amaila Falls hydroelectric plant, citing numerous delays and potential cost overruns.

The project was to have been Guyana's first major hydropower plant and would have been located about 250 kilometers southwest of the capital city on the Kuribrong River.

Preliminary estimates reported in 2008 put the price of the plant between US$400 million and $500 million, with financing to have been provided by sources including the Inter-American Development Bank, World Bank and New York-based Sithe Global.

Sithe, which signed an agreement with the China Railway First Group (CRFG) in September 2012 to help co-finance Amaila Falls, had already invested at least $16 million in preparatory work before fully withdrawing its support for the project in August 2013.

The Guyanese government will now begin planning feasibility studies for a new large hydropower project in the country's northwestern region, according to Finance Minister Winston Jordan, who also said smaller regionalized plants will also likely be a consideration.

TK posted:

X = Amaila; Y = Alternative. The report clearly says detail studies were done on X, but not the set of Y. If that's the case, the report cannot logically say anything about alternative hydro options. What it can say is that Amaila would likely be an improvement over the present 100% fossil fuel source, it's US$1 bill risk in a US$ 3 bill GDP economy notwithstanding. I think given this report the time has come to start implementing Amaila, knowing that in the history of big projects in Guyana there has always been cost overruns.

Either you are being facetious or you really lack understanding. To determine that a feasibility study should be done on Amelia alone, who made this decision? Jagdeo and the PPP or was this choice made by engineers based on pre feasibility study of other rivers?

Drugb posted:

TK posted:

X = Amaila; Y = Alternative. The report clearly says detail studies were done on X, but not the set of Y. If that's the case, the report cannot logically say anything about alternative hydro options. What it can say is that Amaila would likely be an improvement over the present 100% fossil fuel source, it's US$1 bill risk in a US$ 3 bill GDP economy notwithstanding. I think given this report the time has come to start implementing Amaila, knowing that in the history of big projects in Guyana there has always been cost overruns.

Either you are being facetious or you really lack understanding. To determine that a feasibility study should be done on Amelia alone, who made this decision? Jagdeo and the PPP or was this choice made by engineers based on pre feasibility study of other rivers?

You cannot in pre-feasibility come up with one option. Things like hydro in a small country like Guyana have macroeconomic concerns, as well as the obvious engineering factors. How many pre-feasibility studies were done?

TK posted:

You cannot in pre-feasibility come up with one option. Things like hydro in a small country like Guyana have macroeconomic concerns, as well as the obvious engineering factors. How many pre-feasibility studies were done?

Sure you can. Sometimes there is clearly only one front runner when all factors are considered. What is evident is that you have no evidence that this was not done, yet your hatred for Jagdeo makes you jump to this conclusion. 

Drugb posted:

TK posted:

You cannot in pre-feasibility come up with one option. Things like hydro in a small country like Guyana have macroeconomic concerns, as well as the obvious engineering factors. How many pre-feasibility studies were done?

Sure you can. Sometimes there is clearly only one front runner when all factors are considered. What is evident is that you have no evidence that this was not done, yet your hatred for Jagdeo makes you jump to this conclusion. 

What you fail to understand is the govt has the inside information. Observers are basing opinion on what the govt proposes and makes available. The govt is the caretaker and not the owner. It's like the CEO who is the agent acting on behalf of the owners/shareholders or principals. The CEO provides all sorts of information to analysts so that the principals can know their money is being invested well. But like the typical village idiot, you see my motives has hating Jagdeo. BTW, you have multiple choices for hydros.

TK posted:

.. BTW, before some people start yapping about manufacturing, .

The Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico have well established manufacturing sectors. Even Jamaica has a decent manufacturing sector.

The excuse offered by the PPP that energy explains why Guyana's manufacturing sector is small is ridiculous.

The DR and PR rely on the same sources of energy as does Guyana.

All of the medias are giving their opinion. Go here to read the full report.

https://www.regjeringen.no/glo...-norconsult-2016.pdf

Drugb posted:

. What is evident is that you have no evidence that this was not done, yet your hatred for Jagdeo makes you jump to this conclusion. 

You have no evidence that any were done. If others were done why didn't the PPP speak to those as indicators that Amaila was the best option.

In fact was there even a feasibility study done for Amaila prior to the PPP making a decision on this?

TK posted:

What you fail to understand is the govt has the inside information. Observers are basing opinion on what the govt proposes and makes available. The govt is the caretaker and not the owner. It's like the CEO who is the agent acting on behalf of the owners/shareholders or principals. The CEO provides all sorts of information to analysts so that the principals can know their money is being invested well. But like the typical village idiot, you see my motives has hating Jagdeo. BTW, you have multiple choices for hydros.

Fair enough the lack of information makes the public suspicious. However we should not reject a proposal because Jagdeo started it.  You and others have a history of hating Jagdeo when you should be putting the country first. 

caribny posted:

You have no evidence that any were done. If others were done why didn't the PPP speak to those as indicators that Amaila was the best option.

In fact was there even a feasibility study done for Amaila prior to the PPP making a decision on this?

No I don't, however one can surmise that this was at least discussed before make the Amaila choice. You folks due to your hatred of Jagdeo assumed that he woke up one morning and concluded that the only feasibility study needed was  on Amaila. 

Drugb posted:

.. However we should not reject a proposal because Jagdeo started it.  .. 

If Granger and company came up with a US$1 billion project with inadequate feasibility studies, and evidence that the dam would be ineffective in the dry season you would have been screaming of "Kwe kwe economics".

Just because Jagdeo concocted a White Elephant replete with opportunities to steal, as did indeed happen with the infamous Fip Motilall road fiasco, doesn't mean that it should be accepted.

No one had an issue with extending the runway at GEO as it is all agreed that the existing runway is too short. But again the PPP had to mount an expensive terminal with more gateways than busy airports like St Maarten, to drive up costs, when an expansion of the existing building and maybe 3 jet bridges, would have been enough.

Drugb posted:

caribny posted:

You have no evidence that any were done. If others were done why didn't the PPP speak to those as indicators that Amaila was the best option.

In fact was there even a feasibility study done for Amaila prior to the PPP making a decision on this?

No I don't, however one can surmise that this was at least discussed before make the Amaila choice. You folks due to your hatred of Jagdeo assumed that he woke up one morning and concluded that the only feasibility study needed was  on Amaila. 

Druggie Amaila ceased to have support when Fip Motilal was awarded a project to build a road in hostile terrain when evidence shows that he couldn't even build a driveway.

You of all people know how tough building roads in the interior are, especially when they need to be strong enough to carry heavy equipment.

So spare us your screams of "Jagdeo is Lord and Master" when he undermined any credibility of a US$1 billion project with the Fip scandal.

On what basis was Fip awarded the road building project? So why would we entrust the PPP to manage a US$1 billion project?

Drugb posted:

TK posted:

What you fail to understand is the govt has the inside information. Observers are basing opinion on what the govt proposes and makes available. The govt is the caretaker and not the owner. It's like the CEO who is the agent acting on behalf of the owners/shareholders or principals. The CEO provides all sorts of information to analysts so that the principals can know their money is being invested well. But like the typical village idiot, you see my motives has hating Jagdeo. BTW, you have multiple choices for hydros.

Fair enough the lack of information makes the public suspicious. However we should not reject a proposal because Jagdeo started it.  You and others have a history of hating Jagdeo when you should be putting the country first. 

I actually think it is time to get moving on Amaila. I am interested in the economic viability. I have always been able to think for myself.

caribny posted:

Druggie Amaila ceased to have support when Fip Motilal was awarded a project to build a road in hostile terrain when evidence shows that he couldn't even build a driveway.

You of all people know how tough building roads in the interior are, especially when they need to be strong enough to carry heavy equipment.

So spare us your screams of "Jagdeo is Lord and Master" when he undermined any credibility of a US$1 billion project with the Fip scandal.

On what basis was Fip awarded the road building project? So why would we entrust the PPP to manage a US$1 billion project?

I believe that it is not as simple as Fip Motilal. The reason for killing Amaila was so as not to have any major project accredited to the PPP.  You folks did the same for the stadium and Mariott. However you all were on board initially for Skeldon, even Ramjattan and Nagamootoo. 

Putting aside your hatred, how do we move forward?

TK posted:

I actually think it is time to get moving on Amaila. I am interested in the economic viability. I have always been able to think for myself.

What I gleaned from the report is that it is not feasible. I doubt that any other developer will come in at a lower price to make it feasible. The Chinese will build it cheaply with another Skeldon in the works. To get quality you will need to pay more which is not cost effective. 

Drugb posted:

caribny posted:

You have no evidence that any were done. If others were done why didn't the PPP speak to those as indicators that Amaila was the best option.

In fact was there even a feasibility study done for Amaila prior to the PPP making a decision on this?

No I don't, however one can surmise that this was at least discussed before make the Amaila choice. You folks due to your hatred of Jagdeo assumed that he woke up one morning and concluded that the only feasibility study needed was  on Amaila. 

I am not sure why you folks are calling Amaila a Jagdeo initiative.  Here is a snippet from the report.

In 1974-76 GOG carried out a pre-feasibility study of the hydropower potential at Amaila Falls assuming an installed capacity of 200 MW. In 1997, a brief review of this study was done by others. It concluded by suggesting a 165 MW development.

This report found TECHNICAL flaws in the proposed design plus at first glance I do not believe Norconsult did a proper financial analysis.  I have to read the report in more detail.

Everyone knows that hydro-power is the best option for Guyana's future, but it has to be done properly before it turns out to be another white elephant like Jagdeo's Skeldon plant.  Since the 1970s they been wuking at it and till today we cannot have anything significant!

Drugb posted:

.

I believe that it is not as simple as Fip Motilal. The reason for killing Amaila was so as not to have any major project accredited to the PPP. .

And it was the responsibility of a responsible opposition to kill any project that appeared to be poorly conceived. The AFC did ask for feasibility studies, which were never furnished.

The PPP kicked their own shin with their incompetent arrogance.  You should blame them for that. It is asinine for you to think that the PPP could expect approval for a large project of this magnitude when they refused to provide information, and when the initial aspects of this project were riddled with corruption.

Why was Fip Motilall granted the road building award when it is obvious that he couldn't succeed: If you cannot address this then you have no business screaming that Jagdeo is the Master of the Universe, and can do what ever he wants.  In fact he has been an abject failure in GuySICKO. Even he now admits this as much as he is able to do so.

VVP posted:

.

I am not sure why you folks are calling Amaila a Jagdeo initiative...  Since the 1970s they been wuking at it and till today we cannot have anything significant!

It is because he was pushing it, and tried to encumber Guyana with massive debt, even as the project has yet to be properly conceived.

Drugb posted:

TK posted:

I actually think it is time to get moving on Amaila. I am interested in the economic viability. I have always been able to think for myself.

What I gleaned from the report is that it is not feasible. I doubt that any other developer will come in at a lower price to make it feasible. The Chinese will build it cheaply with another Skeldon in the works. To get quality you will need to pay more which is not cost effective. 

Like you catch sense.

I took a quick peek will read later.