ENG is not IND, they will go out with guts and glory and make their Country proud. I say it will be ENG/NZ Final. You need maturity and killer instinct in such situations. The Indians has the talent and skills BUT not the maturity and killer instincts.
The match goes to England if the openers, Bairstow and Roy stay there for the first ten overs. These guys are prolific batsmen. They will push the score rapidly to a point where it becomes easy for the English to win.