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Reply to "PPP Central Committee waiting on Ali to return with proof of academic qualifications - Transcripts can be obtained in days but party waiting over a month"

Bibi Haniffa posted:
 

As you had earlier suggested, he had a 70% chance of winning and that was reduced to 51%.  He is listening to you and has decided that 70 > 51.

The trend is that 51% is less than 70% and indeed a risk, given that he has set the NCV firmly within Guyanese political culture.  He would rather see it climb further.

You see 51% is a low threshold making it too easy for the PNC to rig.

FM
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