Bibi Haniffa posted:
As you had earlier suggested, he had a 70% chance of winning and that was reduced to 51%. He is listening to you and has decided that 70 > 51.
The trend is that 51% is less than 70% and indeed a risk, given that he has set the NCV firmly within Guyanese political culture. He would rather see it climb further.
You see 51% is a low threshold making it too easy for the PNC to rig.