VishMahabir posted:Gilbakka posted:VishMahabir posted:What "power" does Jagdeo and the PPP have to force the hands of the PPP? [should be "coalition"].
I should add that a bunch of military men are controlling the government and they are not going to let Jagdeo create an unstable situation for them.
Even the knowledgeable folks here with historical minds like Gilbakka and Demerara-Guy understands this....unless they choose to ride with the GROUPTHINK mentality and deny reality.
The Velvet Revolution in Czechoslovakia in 1989 comprised a series of nonviolent protests that toppled an entrenched communist state and installed a poet-playwright president, Vaclav Havel. The Orange Revolution in the Ukraine in 2004-2005 was also largely peaceful and toppled a Putin-backed regime. Only one person died, from a heart attack. The Arab Spring in Tunisia and Egypt in 2010-2011 consisted of massive peaceful demonstrations that resulted in regime changes.
As Bharrat Jagdeo explained, he will spearhead peaceful protests because the PPP is not in the business of beating people and burning stores. GAWU may call strikes in GuySuCo's three estates; strikes are peaceful actions. International petitions for condemnation of the post-March21 illegal government are already in the works. Violence may come only from Coalition supporters but PPP not frightened.
One does not have to use revolutionary force to remove a government as you pointed out. But you are comparing oranges and pineapples. There is a fundamental difference between Guyana and those two nation-states. Their population clearly accepted the rules of the game. This is why Czechoslovakia was able to peacefully split into 2 separate countries a few years later.
Guyana is divided by race and Jagdeo is not seen as a unifying symbol (except for the misguided Indos on GNI), regardless of how far the coalition wants to stall and remain in power and how much Jagdeo can mobilize his supporters. He might be successful in unifying some people but not a majority against the coalition. Regardless of how you slice this, the coalition will be able to mobilize a sizable force of their own supporters to put a dent in any strong opposition Jagdeo can muster.
The other wild card here is the external forces that have an interest in Guyana…Exxon, US, etc. As of now, they have given Granger the nod. The coalition will continue to demonize Jagdeo and destroy any credibility he may have among coalition die hards...just to neutralize any criticism emanating from CARICOM, OAS, etc.
Besides, ASSUMING that even if the PPP were to mobilize people to start a RED revolution, Plan B of the PNC will lead them, if all else fails, to find ways to destabilize and cut short the PPP’s term in office. There is a history here.
Vish, I appreciate your rebuttal but let's agree to disagree. Lately some of your comments impressed me. No doubt you are a brilliant student. I think you would do well in politics if you so choose as a career. And if you plan to enter politics in Guyana, do so early.