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Reply to "Chances of APNU/AFC Govt being re-elected again slim, says fmr Presidential Advisor"

alena06 posted:

Folks don’t need advisors to tell them AFC and PNC will lose the elections. LGE was just the start of things.

Use your considerable mathematical skills to argue why with 30 percent voting in elections that never mattered means something to the general elections where participation is always twice that? Consider also that black people are motivated to hold keep their own in office and the PPP's base is already less than what is available to the APNU minus the amerindian vote. Mixed races will vote and have voted for the APNU.  On pure numbers alone the LGE could speak to enthusiasm for local elections but not for the general where more is at stake. The general elections have always been an ethnic struggle for the state as a prize. It will not change in 2020. The outcome is not clear as the pundits and you eager beavers are wont to conclude. It is and will be a struggle and I am sure the APNU have a plan b for it also. If anything these results would be more conclusive to the APNU working twice as hard to get their base out

FM
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