P.P.S.....Percentage of Guyana's population who cast votes

2001....54% (according to the 2002 census number of 751,223)

2006....45%  (according to the 2002 census number of 751,223)

2011....46%  (according to the 2012 census number of 747,884)

In 2015, 54% would gives us a total electorate of 403,857 (highest)

In 2015, 45% would give us a total electorate of 336,547 (lowest)

A mean of the two would be 49% equaling 370,202.

Assuming arguendo  a mean of 49% is the turnout, the net gain would be 28,076 additional voters to the 2011 voters.

Best case scenario, APNU holds all its 139,678 voters and adds 75% of the additional turnout (highly unlikely to be this favorable of a split but possible), with a net gain of 21,057 voters, bringing them to 160,735.

The PPP similarly holds all of it's 166,340 voters and adds a paltry 7,019 (25% of new 2015 voters) for a total of 173,359.

Of the AFC's 2011 35,333 voters, if they split evenly at 17,333 between the PPP/C and APNU this results:

PPP/C        191,025      52%

APNU/AFC   178,401      48%

A PPP/C win by a close but still decisive absolute majority margin of 12,624.

This of course assumes APNU does not lose at least 1 seat or more (worth 5,200 votes each) to Mark Benschop. A highly likely possibility.