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http://www.nbcnews.com/storyli...e-fbi-letter-n675771

Poll: Clinton Maintains National Lead Over Trump Despite FBI Letter

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Hillary Clinton's 6-point national lead over Donald Trump remains virtually unchanged since last week, even after FBI Director James Comey announced the discovery of emails that could be "pertinent" to the investigation of Clinton's use of a private email server.

The NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll showed Clinton with a 6-point lead over Trump in the days prior to the Comey news. When looking at the data for Saturday and Sunday only, her lead remained the same — 47 percent to Trump's 41 percent. The poll was conducted online from October 24 through October 30. Questions about Comey's announcement were included on October 29 and October 30.

 
 
 

Results for the entire week of the tracking poll show that in a four-way match-up, Clinton enjoys 47 percent support among likely voters, while Trump holds onto 41 percent support. Gary Johnson drops a single point to 6 percent support, and Jill Stein has 3 percent support. In a two-way race, Clinton enjoys a 7-point lead over Trump, with 51 percent support compared to Trump's 44 percent.

On Friday, FBI Director Comey sent a letter to Congress stating that the bureau would be reviewing emails that may be related the investigation into Clinton's use of a private server during her tenure as secretary of state. The emails—which were uncovered during an unrelated investigation of former New York congressman Anthony Weiner, federal officials told NBC News—came as a huge surprise to the Clinton campaign just 11 days ahead of the general election.

The Democratic nominee—as well as several prominent party leaders—expressed confusion and anger with the announcement. When asked whether she thought the news would affect the election, Clinton said, "I think people made up their minds a long time ago."

Likely voters were split on whether they thought the controversial announcement by the FBI was an important issue to discuss or more of a distraction to the campaign. A slight majority of likely voters nationwide—55 percent—said it was an important issue. Forty-four percent said the news was more of a distraction to the campaign.

 
 

Perhaps expectedly, there were sharp differences in opinion by party. Among Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters, 83 percent said Comey's announcement was a distraction. Among Republicans and Republican-leaning voters, 93 percent said the announcement was an important issue to discuss. Among likely Independent voters who do not lean towards either party, 68 percent said it was an important issue to discuss while 31 percent said it was a distraction to the campaign.

 
 
 

With the election just eight days away, Clinton campaign officials and other party leaders have called for further details about the announcement. But while a slight majority of likely voters overall said the announcement is important to discuss, support for Clinton and Trump remained unchanged.

The NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking poll was conducted online October 24 through October 30, 2016 among a national sample of 40,816 adults who are likely to vote. Respondents for this non-probability survey were selected from the nearly three million people who take surveys on the SurveyMonkey platform each day. Results have an error estimate of plus or minus 1.0 percentage points. For full results and methodology, click here.

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Mars posted:

http://www.nbcnews.com/storyli...e-fbi-letter-n675771

Poll: Clinton Maintains National Lead Over Trump Despite FBI Letter

by , and

Hillary Clinton's 6-point national lead over Donald Trump remains virtually unchanged since last week, even after FBI Director James Comey announced the discovery of emails that could be "pertinent" to the investigation of Clinton's use of a private email server.

The NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll showed Clinton with a 6-point lead over Trump in the days prior to the Comey news. When looking at the data for Saturday and Sunday only, her lead remained the same — 47 percent to Trump's 41 percent. The poll was conducted online from October 24 through October 30. Questions about Comey's announcement were included on October 29 and October 30.

 
 
 

Results for the entire week of the tracking poll show that in a four-way match-up, Clinton enjoys 47 percent support among likely voters, while Trump holds onto 41 percent support. Gary Johnson drops a single point to 6 percent support, and Jill Stein has 3 percent support. In a two-way race, Clinton enjoys a 7-point lead over Trump, with 51 percent support compared to Trump's 44 .Among likely Independent voters who do not lean towards either party, 68 percent said it was an important issue to discuss while 31 percent said it was a distraction to the campaign.

 
 
 

..

This is the bloc which matters, especially in FL, NC, PA, and OH.

The Dems and the GOP have already decided, and their views will not shift. Its the 5% undecided voters and those less than enthusiastic who will matter.

FM
caribny posted:

This is the bloc which matters, especially in FL, NC, PA, and OH.

The Dems and the GOP have already decided, and their views will not shift. Its the 5% undecided voters and those less than enthusiastic who will matter.

Trump has to win three of those for a path to 270 and that aint happening in at least two while she can take one of the other two easily with turn out troops that she has.

FM
Danyael posted:
caribny posted:

This is the bloc which matters, especially in FL, NC, PA, and OH.

The Dems and the GOP have already decided, and their views will not shift. Its the 5% undecided voters and those less than enthusiastic who will matter.

Trump has to win three of those for a path to 270 and that aint happening in at least two while she can take one of the other two easily with turn out troops that she has.

Trump is already winning OH, and is close in NC and FL.   Trump is doing better among white working class males outside of the South than has any GOP candidate within recent times.

538 and others have increased the odds of his winning, and this before the full impact of the FBI antics has been fully boiled in.  Yes it is still Hillary's too lose but to claim that victory is assured is a tad arrogant.  30% is not a bad bet to make.

In fact there are those GOP, who hate Trump, but hate the prospects of losing the Supreme Court for a generation or more.  They may lie and say that they aren't going to vote for Trump, because they are embarrassed to admit this openly.

I am suggesting that you save your bubbly until 9PM next week Tuesday as we really don't know who will vote in some of those swing states.

FM
caribny posted:
Danyael posted:
caribny posted:

This is the bloc which matters, especially in FL, NC, PA, and OH.

The Dems and the GOP have already decided, and their views will not shift. Its the 5% undecided voters and those less than enthusiastic who will matter.

Trump has to win three of those for a path to 270 and that aint happening in at least two while she can take one of the other two easily with turn out troops that she has.

Trump is already winning OH, and is close in NC and FL.   Trump is doing better among white working class males outside of the South than has any GOP candidate within recent times.

538 and others have increased the odds of his winning, and this before the full impact of the FBI antics has been fully boiled in.  Yes it is still Hillary's too lose but to claim that victory is assured is a tad arrogant.  30% is not a bad bet to make.

In fact there are those GOP, who hate Trump, but hate the prospects of losing the Supreme Court for a generation or more.  They may lie and say that they aren't going to vote for Trump, because they are embarrassed to admit this openly.

I am suggesting that you save your bubbly until 9PM next week Tuesday as we really don't know who will vote in some of those swing states.

No one is being arrogant. One just knows at this point the possibility of him winning three plus taking NH. You can bet on that horse race. I know by know that lacking another voter suppression bombshell she wins.

FM
Danyael posted:
 

No one is being arrogant. One just knows at this point the possibility of him winning three plus taking NH. You can bet on that horse race. I know by know that lacking another voter suppression bombshell she wins.

And in fact there will be tremendous voter suppression that will happen in NC, OH, and FL. Maybe even in PA.  FL is as corrupt as it comes, so expect many blacks and Puerto Ricans to go to the polls, and see that their names aren't listed. 

Already they are playing on the fears of those who owe child support, parking tickets, or have outstanding warrants.  Threatening phone calls focused on poor black and NOT poor white areas.

The Voting Rights Act is no longer in force so the monitoring that has happened in the past will not happen this time.

The only protection that we have is that the Dems know this and will try their best to mitigate it.

FM
caribny posted:
Danyael posted:
 

No one is being arrogant. One just knows at this point the possibility of him winning three plus taking NH. You can bet on that horse race. I know by know that lacking another voter suppression bombshell she wins.

And in fact there will be tremendous voter suppression that will happen in NC, OH, and FL. Maybe even in PA.  FL is as corrupt as it comes, so expect many blacks and Puerto Ricans to go to the polls, and see that their names aren't listed. 

Already they are playing on the fears of those who owe child support, parking tickets, or have outstanding warrants.  Threatening phone calls focused on poor black and NOT poor white areas.

The Voting Rights Act is no longer in force so the monitoring that has happened in the past will not happen this time.

The only protection that we have is that the Dems know this and will try their best to mitigate it.

Some one I know is on  the ground doing field work in these States and said the internals indicate  they are on track. I believe that

There was a massive registration drive of Puerto Ricans who reside mainly on the I4 corridor and are democrats and these are completely mobilized because all of them are known. They will vote. Black Haitians are problematic not black americans.

In any event, she only have to win one of these states. He has to win all plus NH.

FM
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