After the initial skepticism, including mine, Moses Nagamootoo's bold move to forge a coalition with APNU has changed Guyana's politics forever.
From what I've seen like us all here and listened to people back home, it is instructive to note the enthusiasm of the PNC base of APNU. They have not been this energized and accounted for poor turnout in past elections - never rising to above 42% of the votes. Now they've seen a reason to be enthused and that reason is the man Moses.
Moses has shown that he better than anyone can make the reality of the PPP corruption hit home to the PPP base in a way I've never seen before. I put a lot of weight behind race voting because of the continued stigma that the Burnham era left the PNC. Granger to his credit has shown he's more Hoyte than Burnham and he has kept the PNC's internal divisions moot.
It is this energized PNC base - thanks to Moses - that has the PPP more worried. The mixed race votes and Amerindian votes are subject to the same dynamic as the incremental PNC vote and the disenchanted PPP base vote. Moses has shown he can take two seats at will. He's at work to add a couple more for the coalition from the mixed race vote and the skeptic PNC base.
All of this abstracts from what manifesto and economic vision any party has for Guyana, and this is instructive. It says the normal metrics in a voting decision are not at work here. What's driving votes is change. It is an intangible fueled by corruption littered all over social media. People are better informed and the weight of too much is finally wearing PPP base's capacity for forgiveness. Interestingly enough Moses bold move has also rendered the old racial fear impotent enough to keep his 2 seats from 2011 and possibly bringing some more over, as well as letting the PNC base know finally "yes, we can"!