carib:
* It seems as if you are mathematically challenged.
* Lemme help you out.50+1% is really 51%---It is not 50% + 1 vote.
* In the 2011 election the PPP received 166,340 votes out of the 342,236 votes cast----that's 48.6%
* 50+1% of the votes for the PPP in the 2011 election would have been 174,540
* 174,540(50+1%) - 166,340(48.6%) = 8200 votes
* In 2015 with the PPP base energized and motivated to turn out and vote---50+1% it will be for the PPP.
Rev
Tell you what. At this time in the last campaign APNU just woke up from its slumber because it had no money to wage a long term campaign. The AFC was stuck going no where until suddenly Nagamootoo left the PPP and joined them.
Yet they won 51%.
Now I was skeptical about APNU AFC campaigning. They have been waging an aggressive campaign. They have a youth arm which has been quite innovative, and to be honest Guyanese are TIRED of the PPP.
Now the PPP are shrewd, hungry and corrupt and are shameless in stealing, and openly at that, taxpayer funds to campaign. They have the full power of incumbency, and so they can find ways to offset the boredom that even many Indians have of them. They can even offset the fact that for the first time in 22 years FREEDOM day is coming for black and mixed Guyanese, as they see a high probability of a PPP defeat.
And that is why it is 50:50. Its the power of the PPP vs. the will of the people. It all depends on who shows up and whether people vote HOPE or FEAR!.