Kari posted:
You can say the same with Trump. The demographics in 2016 favors a Democrat dressed up as a monkey over the Republican candidate. Trump has his 40% of the Republicans polled. If 60% of those vote for him, his general elections numbers will make him look like Mondale to Reagan.
I will suggest to you that complacency will guarantee that the GOP will win.
FACT. The core constituency of the Democrats, blacks, Hispanics, and the youth of all races never recovered from the Bush induced recession, and signs are that the economy will slow again in 2016. Will they bother to vote, now that there isn't a charismatic person, as was the case in 2008?
Suppose Trump, assuming that he wins, suddenly becomes "reasonable". and the media, which he obviously "owns", peddles his "new" image, to a population who are basically cynical of the Clintons? Americans have very short memories and the media are a bunch of drug addicts hustling for ratings, which Trump has proven that he can deliver.
So if Democrats think that the election is in the bag, they over estimate their core bases tendency to sit out elections, when they aren't enthused about the candidate. Hillary just found out that young white women don't really like her.