Reply to "CNN FINALLY admits that It is a dead heat race."

yuji22 posted:

Washington (CNN)A new national poll that was taken before Friday's bombshell announcement that the FBI was reviewing emails related to Hillary Clinton's private server finds the Democratic nominee and Donald Trump in a tight race.

Clinton's 47%-45% edge in the new Washington Post/ABC tracking poll released Saturday is within the poll's 3-point margin of error. As recently as Sunday, Clinton led Trump 50% to 38% in the poll.

Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson is winning 4% while Green Party candidate Jill Stein is at 2%.

Link:

http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/29/...kedrail_topeditorial

When the polls are within the margin of error, the interpretation of the results can generally be viewed as thus ...

Given ... Clinton 47% and Trump 45%

Margin of error as 3% ...

Interpretation ...

1. Hillary Clinton 50%; Trump 45% == Quite Possible.

2. Hillary Clinton 47%; Trump 48% == Statistically Tied.

3. Hillary Clinton 44%; Trump 45% == Statistically Tied.

4. Hillary Clinton 50%; Trump 42% == Probable/possible.