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Reply to "Amaila Falls Hydropower Project now highly unlikely"

TK posted:
VVP posted:
Zed posted:

Electricity cost is one Factor in the decision matrix, but not the most important one. There are many more important factors that need to be considered.

Zed, what field were you involved in?  I think it is a fundamental understanding that energy, mainly cheap and reliable electricity, is the most important factor in the development of any country.

What other factors are you implying?  Political stability, human capital etc.?

Again, i think cheap and reliable electricity is the most important.

VVP...I have a question for you. Let's say the hydro is up and running. Would there be no blackouts?

The report itself recognize that there are periods of dry spell where Amaila cannot operate at full capacity.  At one point it said that the operation is more like a run of river type (which seems to me like there is not sufficient reservoir capability).  This means they would still have to carry backup generation to serve the load.  If Amaila cannot generate for lack of water flow they will have to have total load backup.  So if there is not sufficient backup there could be blackout.

No blackouts cannot be guaranteed, even in the USA where massive amounts are spent on reliability.  The loss of a transmission tower could result in blackout under the Amaila construct.  Gotta run.

FM
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